AI Economics

What work can robots do?

Share of US job tasks by robot exposure category, including 54% cognitive or interpersonal tasks and 12% that no assessed robot can do.
Source visual: Anthropic, Job tasks by robot exposure; capability assessment, not observed job replacement

Summary

Legate-Yang and Massenkoff use model-assisted ratings of occupational tasks to estimate what robots can do and what deployment would cost. They estimate that robots can perform tasks accounting for 34% of US working time in at least some settings, but only about 0.3% of working time is exposed to robots estimated to be cost-competitive today.

Why it matters

The report makes the gap between technical capability and economic adoption concrete. Purpose-built environments, integration, supervision and other deployment costs can keep technically feasible automation from paying for itself.

What to keep in mind

These are task-exposure and cost estimates, not observed automation or job losses. Ratings, time weights and costs rely heavily on model judgments; demonstrations in arranged settings may not transfer to ordinary workplaces. Historical correlations and fixed-wage cost scenarios do not establish future employment effects.

Sources